Regression to Mean

Extreme performances tend to be followed by average ones.

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Dutch Tulip Mania (1637)
The Dot-Com Bubble
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The Marshmallow Test Replication
Why Lottery Winners Go Broke
The Curse of the Madden Cover
The Elo Rating System
The FOMO Machine: Anatomy of a Crypto Bubble

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“You’ve got to have models in your head. And you’ve got to array your experience — both vicarious and direct — on this latticework of models.”— Charlie Munger

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Scenarios are AI-generated explorations of mental models applied to real-world events. Visualizations, design, and software are original works of Leema LLC.

Mental model descriptions draw on published scholarship including Munger, Kahneman, Taleb, Meadows, and others. These are learning aids, not substitutes for the cited works.

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